VRA ® GeoMonitor Monthly Update Subscriber John Doe Subscription January 1, 2002-December 31, 2002 Update for December 2002 Country(ies) Monitored Pakistan

PAKISTAN - Hostility : December 2002 Score

Score: hostility is greatly up (Z-score greater than 1.5). Explanation of Chart: Hostility scores (Y axis) represent the proportion of hostile events to all events. The higher the score, the more hostile the situation. Z-scores are presented on the right-hand side of the graph. Z-scores are represented by colored circles. One red circle represents deviation greater or equal to -0.5 and less than -1.0 over the previous month. Two red circles signify a deviation greater or equal to -1.0 and less than -1.5. Three red circles represent a deviation greater or equal to -1.5. Green circles represent the same range of deviations in the positive direction. The color of the circle conveys the desirability of the change. Red represents negative trends and green signifies positive trends. White circles denote no significant change over the previous month (Z-scores of less that 0.5 in either the positive or negative direction).

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